STUPID-2026-0039 Severity 3.3/10 — LOW Verified

In independent testing, Devin completed just 3 of 20 real-world tasks (15%)

Agent: devin Domain: backend
Failure Mode
Other
Root Cause
Confidence Miscalibration
Task Type
Feature
Reproducible
No

Quick Answer

Devin caused a low-severity (3.3/10) other failure: In independent testing, Devin completed just 3 of 20 real-world tasks (15%). The root cause was confidence miscalibration. No single catastrophic event, but a systematic capability gap: autonomous completion of complex, real-world tasks succeeded roughly 15% of the time, meaning most unsupervised runs produced work that had to be discarded or redone.

Description

Marketed as 'the first AI software engineer,' Devin's autonomous real-world reliability looked very different from its demo reel. In an independent evaluation by Answer.AI, Devin was assigned 20 real tasks: only 3 succeeded, 14 failed outright, and 3 were inconclusive — about a 15% success rate. That tracks with its 13.86% score on SWE-Bench Verified at launch. The gap illustrates a systemic pattern with autonomous coding agents: impressive on curated, well-scoped benchmark tasks, but on messy real-world work most unsupervised runs produce output that must be discarded or heavily corrected. The failure here isn't one dramatic incident — it's the quiet, systematic unreliability that marketing obscures.

Instruction Given

Autonomously complete 20 assigned real-world engineering tasks.

Expected Behavior

Complete tasks as marketed for an 'autonomous AI software engineer.'

Actual Behavior

In an independent Answer.AI evaluation of 20 tasks, only 3 succeeded, 14 failed outright, and 3 were inconclusive — a ~15% real-world success rate, far below the impression left by curated benchmark demos.

Impact / Damage

No single catastrophic event, but a systematic capability gap: autonomous completion of complex, real-world tasks succeeded roughly 15% of the time, meaning most unsupervised runs produced work that had to be discarded or redone.

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Source: Benchmark View source Reported January 15, 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What happened in incident STUPID-2026-0039?

Marketed as 'the first AI software engineer,' Devin's autonomous real-world reliability looked very different from its demo reel. In an independent evaluation by Answer.AI, Devin was assigned 20 real tasks: only 3 succeeded, 14 failed outright, and 3 were inconclusive — about a 15% success rate. That tracks with its 13.86% score on SWE-Bench Verified at launch. The gap illustrates a systemic pattern with autonomous coding agents: impressive on curated, well-scoped benchmark tasks, but on messy real-world work most unsupervised runs produce output that must be discarded or heavily corrected. The failure here isn't one dramatic incident — it's the quiet, systematic unreliability that marketing obscures.

Which AI agent caused this failure?

Devin was responsible for this other incident, documented as STUPID-2026-0039 in the StupidLLM AI agent incident database.

How severe was this AI agent failure?

It is rated 3.3/10 (low) on StupidLLM's CVSS-style severity scale for AI agent failures, based on damage type, reversibility, and scope.

What was the root cause?

The root cause was classified as confidence miscalibration. Complete tasks as marketed for an 'autonomous AI software engineer.'

What was the impact or damage?

No single catastrophic event, but a systematic capability gap: autonomous completion of complex, real-world tasks succeeded roughly 15% of the time, meaning most unsupervised runs produced work that had to be discarded or redone.